The All Progressives Congress (APC) has increasingly relied on consensus as a strategy to maintain unity and reduce internal conflicts across its ranks. From ward to zonal levels, the party has consistently adopted this approach to produce candidates with minimal friction. The same pattern appears to be shaping governorship selections in parts of the Southwest, where figures like Obafemi Hamzat, Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola (Yayi), and Senator Sarafa Ali are being considered as consensus options. A similar model was seen in Osun, where Asiwaju Munirudeen Bola Oyebanji emerged as the party’s candidate.
Now, attention has shifted to Kwara State, where stakeholders are debating whether the APC will adopt the same consensus approach ahead of the 2027 governorship election. Speculation intensified recently following indications that Senator Saliu Mustapha may be favoured as a consensus candidate, though no official confirmation has been made.
Mustapha is widely regarded as a strong contender within the party. With decades of political experience, strong financial backing, and deep connections across national political networks, he has steadily built a visible presence. His background—bridging Ilorin and Okun heritage—adds to his appeal across different parts of the state.
His political journey dates back to the 1990s and includes roles in multiple parties and organisations, as well as close ties with former President Muhammadu Buhari during the opposition years. As a founding member of key legacy parties that later merged into the APC, Mustapha has long-standing credentials within the party structure.
Since becoming a senator in 2023, he has expanded his influence, particularly through his role in the National Assembly and his involvement in leadership negotiations. As Chairman of the Senate Committee on Agriculture, he has also facilitated projects focused on rural development and infrastructure.
Supporters see him as a unifying figure capable of bridging divides within the party. Over the years, he has built relationships across various political blocs, making him a relatively acceptable option for consensus. Recent signs of improved relations between him and Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq have further strengthened this perception.
Beyond politics, Mustapha has gained recognition across different segments of society, including youth groups, professionals, and community organisations. His outreach efforts—ranging from empowerment programmes to development projects—have helped broaden his support base.
However, the road to 2027 remains complex. Former Senate President Bukola Saraki is still a major force in Kwara politics, with a well-established political structure and influence. Analysts believe any serious contender will need strong grassroots support and strategic alliances to compete effectively.
There are also ongoing debates about zoning and electoral strategy within the APC. While some advocate rotating power to ensure inclusivity, others argue that decisions should be based on electoral strength and voter distribution. These considerations will likely play a key role in determining the party’s final decision.
In the end, the APC faces a delicate balancing act. Adopting a consensus candidate could help preserve unity, but it also risks creating dissatisfaction if perceived as imposed. For now, Saliu Mustapha stands out as a prominent figure in the conversation, but whether he will officially emerge as the party’s choice remains uncertain.
What is clear is that the decisions made in the coming months will shape the APC’s chances in Kwara. As political calculations intensify, the central question remains whether early momentum can be converted into a strong and united front ahead of the 2027 elections.
